Wednesday, July 18, 2007

Bush Repeats the Same Nonsense Over and Over

In response to the Congress holding an all-night debate on a measure that would begin withdrawal from Iraq, Bush states the following.

President Bush: "Al Qaeda would have been a heck of a lot stronger today had we not stayed on the offense, and it is in the interest of the United States to defeat them overseas so we don't have to face them here, but to also spread an ideology that will defeat their ideology every time, and that is the ideology based upon liberty."

Why is it that the president can repeat such nonsense over and over and never be challenged on it in the mainstream media? All intelligence agencies say that the war in Iraq has increased terrorism around the world and has recruited more jihadists for Al Qaeda and other terrorists groups. The attack on Iraq has made Al Qaeda stronger, just the opposite of what Bush says. Second, there was no Al Qaeda in Iraq, so attacking Iraq doesn't have much to do with attacking Al Qaeda. Third, contrary to what Bush thinks, the jihadists have an ideology that is ultimately based on liberty, too. Bin Laden's liberty, as he states, is the liberty of God's plan (as explained in the Koran). True freedom, according to Bin Laden, is to follow God's plan. It is funny, but Bush wouild probably say the same thing as Bin Laden -- but point to the Bible. What Bush means is that we value a political philosophy (liberalism) that is based on political liberty, and that will always beat Al Qaeda's ideology.

But here is the problem. Al Qaeda's ideology cannot be separated from its deeply religious message of freedom. To beat Al Qaeda's ideology is to defeat the Islamic faith itself and its message of freedom, and it is implausible to think that Muslims will give up that message of freedom after seeing our liberty! The problem is that our liberty can't be separated from our greedy corporate capitalism, our empirialistic militarism, our souless consummerism, and our shameful moral relativistism. Our liberty, as great a message as it is, comes weighted down with a big pile of baggage that is not essential to it but expresses our own (unfortunate) realization of that liberty. What Muslim, especially Bin Laden types, can see that core idea of liberty independent of all this ugly realization of the liberty? Is this the liberty that devout true Muslims will flock to? Not at all, if Qtub is correct. Qtub is a very influential Muslim thinker who went to America and saw the American way of liberty. He was disgusted with the American way of life, and wrote that the true Muslim would never accept this American way of life. Islamic extremists are especially very familiar with Qtub's writings. So contrary to what Bush seems to think, Muslim's have already looked carefully at America and have rejected its ideology, because they rejected the ugly consequences of our example of it. How does the destruction of Iraq and the killing of their families lead Muslims to join the American ideology? What Muslim will cheer corporate capitalism after seeing its attempts to take over Iraqi oil? How can obscenity and pornography and the exploitation of sex in culture lead a Muslim to the American ideology? How can mindless consummerism and materialism pursuade the true Muslim to adopt our great liberty? It can't happen that way.

Our liberty-based ideology will always defeat their ideology because our ideology can kill better than theirs. That's what Bush really means to say.

Saturday, March 10, 2007

News on the IPCC Draft Report on Climate Change 2007

I saw this news article today on a draft of an international scientific report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) on global warming that will be coming out soon. The IPCC is supposed to be the authoritative organization for scientific research on climate change and global warming. Here is the Wikipedia entry for the IPCC. The IPCC is currently finalizing its Fourth Assessment Report "Climate Change 2007". I'll be looking forward to it.

Climate report warns of drought, disease

By SETH BORENSTEIN, AP Science Writer
WASHINGTON - The harmful effects of global warming on daily life are already showing up, and within a couple of decades hundreds of millions of people won't have enough water, top scientists will say next month at a meeting in Belgium.

At the same time, tens of millions of others will be flooded out of their homes each year as the Earth reels from rising temperatures and sea levels, according to portions of a draft of an international scientific report obtained by The Associated Press.

Tropical diseases like malaria will spread. By 2050, polar bears will mostly be found in zoos, their habitats gone. Pests like fire ants will thrive.

For a time, food will be plentiful because of the longer growing season in northern regions. But by 2080, hundreds of millions of people could face starvation, according to the report, which is still being revised.

The draft document by the authoritative Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change focuses on global warming's effects and is the second in a series of four being issued this year. Written and reviewed by more than 1,000 scientists from dozens of countries, it still must be edited by government officials.

But some scientists said the overall message is not likely to change when it's issued in early April in Brussels, the same city where European Union leaders agreed this past week to drastically cut greenhouse gas emissions by 2020. Their plan will be presented to President Bush and other world leaders at a summit in June.

The report offers some hope if nations slow and then reduce their greenhouse gas emissions, but it notes that what's happening now isn't encouraging.

"Changes in climate are now affecting physical and biological systems on every continent," the report says, in marked contrast to a 2001 report by the same international group that said the effects of global warming were coming. But that report only mentioned scattered regional effects.

"Things are happening and happening faster than we expected," said Patricia Romero Lankao of the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo., one of the many co-authors of the new report.

The draft document says scientists are highly confident that many current problems — change in species' habits and habitats, more acidified oceans, loss of wetlands, bleaching of coral reefs, and increases in allergy-inducing pollen — can be blamed on global warming.

For example, the report says North America "has already experienced substantial ecosystem, social and cultural disruption from recent climate extremes," such as hurricanes and wildfires.

But the present is nothing compared to the future.

Global warming soon will "affect everyone's life ... it's the poor sectors that will be most affected," Romero Lankao said.

And co-author Terry Root of Stanford University said: "We truly are standing at the edge of mass extinction" of species.

The report included these likely results of global warming:

_Hundreds of millions of Africans and tens of millions of Latin Americans who now have water will be short of it in less than 20 years. By 2050, more than 1 billion people in Asia could face water shortages. By 2080, water shortages could threaten 1.1 billion to 3.2 billion people, depending on the level of greenhouse gases that cars and industry spew into the air.

_Death rates for the world's poor from global warming-related illnesses, such as malnutrition and diarrhea, will rise by 2030. Malaria and dengue fever, as well as illnesses from eating contaminated shellfish, are likely to grow.

_Europe's small glaciers will disappear with many of the continent's large glaciers shrinking dramatically by 2050. And half of Europe's plant species could be vulnerable, endangered or extinct by 2100.

_By 2080, between 200 million and 600 million people could be hungry because of global warming's effects.

_About 100 million people each year could be flooded by 2080 by rising seas.

_Smog in U.S. cities will worsen and "ozone-related deaths from climate (will) increase by approximately 4.5 percent for the mid-2050s, compared with 1990s levels," turning a small health risk into a substantial one.

_Polar bears in the wild and other animals will be pushed to extinction.

_At first, more food will be grown. For example, soybean and rice yields in Latin America will increase starting in a couple of years. Areas outside the tropics, especially the northern latitudes, will see longer growing seasons and healthier forests.

Looking at different impacts on ecosystems, industry and regions, the report sees the most positive benefits in forestry and some improved agriculture and transportation in polar regions.

The biggest damage is likely to come in ocean and coastal ecosystems, water resources and coastal settlements.

The hardest-hit continents are likely to be Africa and Asia, with major harm also coming to small islands and some aspects of ecosystems near the poles. North America, Europe and Australia are predicted to suffer the fewest of the harmful effects.

"In most parts of the world and most segments of populations, lifestyles are likely to change as a result of climate change," the draft report said. "Net valuations of benefits vs. costs will vary, but they are more likely to be negative if climate change is substantial and rapid, rather than if it is moderate and gradual."

This report — considered by some scientists the "emotional heart" of climate change research — focuses on how global warming alters the planet and life here, as opposed to the more science-focused report by the same group last month.

"This is the story. This is the whole play. This is how it's going to affect people. The science is one thing. This is how it affects me, you and the person next door," said University of Victoria climate scientist Andrew Weaver.

Many — not all — of those effects can be prevented, the report says, if within a generation the world slows down its emissions of carbon dioxide and if the level of greenhouse gases sticking around in the atmosphere stabilizes. If that's the case, the report says "most major impacts on human welfare would be avoided; but some major impacts on ecosystems are likely to occur."

The United Nations organized network of 2,000 scientists was established in 1988 to give regular assessments of the Earth's environment. The document issued last month in Paris concluded that scientists are 90 percent certain that people are the cause of global warming and that warming will continue for centuries.